October 24th and 25th at Alfred Lerner Hall, Columbia University
Diversity and the Demographic Dividend: Achieving Educational Equity in an Aging White Society
Presenters:
Summary:
“The United States has a vital resource that gives it an advantage over its industrialized peers, namely people. The population continues to grow, owing to high levels of immigration and fertility.”
- U.S. school enrollment has surpassed the previous all-time high of 48.7 million set in 1970.
The school-age population bulge represents a potential demographic bonus that can help compensate for an aging population, but it can only be realized with appropriate educational investments.
- The fastest growing cohorts are more likely to have parents with little education and lower incomes than the cohorts they are replacing
- Census 2000 recorded the largest “minority” population in U.S. history—28% of the total—with 12% African American; 11% Hispanic; 4% Asian; and other groups combined accounting for the rest. Hispanics recently surpassed blacks as the largest minority group.
- 35% of the school-age population is now minority, compared with 28 percent of the total population.
- By 2030, about 40% of the U.S. population is projected to be black, Hispanic or Asian. The relatively youthful minority populations -- Hispanics in particular -- will drive future demographic growth and diversification well into the current century.
Key indicators “do not bode well for the swelling school-aged minority populations of these states.”
- The four largest immigrant-receiving states rank in the lower half of all states based on their overall and child poverty rates as well as their high school graduation rates. In 2003 California , Florida and New York were tied for 34 th place in their child poverty rates. Texas ranked 43rd.
- In 2000, black and Hispanic students attended segregated schools where two out of three students were poor or near poor; moreover, 88% of the students attending hyper-segregated minority schools (i.e., with less than 10% whites) were poor, compared with only 15% of students attending equally segregated white schools.
- Schools where minorities are disproportionately concentrated are poorer, on average, than predominantly white schools. Graduation rates for central city high schools averaged 58% in 2001, compared with 73% for suburban schools.
- The annual high school dropout rate of Hispanics remains double that of non-Hispanic whites.
- As of 2000, the Hispanic high school graduation rate was almost three decades behind that of whites. In that year, 59% of Hispanics ages 25 and over achieved high school diplomas whereas 55% of whites did so back in 1970.
- Only 10% of Hispanics ages 25 and over were college graduates in 2000, comparable to whites in 1970.
- Today''''s college graduates look like the U.S. population in 1970, with whites comprising 82% of degree recipients. African Americans represent only 6% -- less than half their population share -- and Hispanics comprise only 4%, or about one-third their population share. These disparities will likely widen as the minority share of young cohorts continues to rise.