|
Analyses
|
Abraham, Manja D. (1999), The impact of urban residency
and lifestyle on illicit drug use in the Netherlands. Journal of
Drugs Issues, Summer 1999, pp. 565-586 (pre-publication version).
© Copyright 1999 Manja D. Abraham. All rights reserved.
The impact of urban residency and lifestyle on illicit drug use in
the Netherlands
Manja D. Abraham
National drug use prevalence figures represent average
rates of use among the general population. It is argued here that these
numbers mask interesting and important differences between local areas.
For example, municipalities and cities exhibit markedly different prevalence
rates, as is illustrated by the Dutch case. In 1997, researchers asked
approximately 22,000 respondents, selected from large samples of the
populations of four major cities and five categories of distinct address
density municipalities throughout the Netherlands, about their lifestyles
and use of licit and illicit drugs. The data collected indicate divergence
between drug use prevalence in urban and rural municipalities. Other
indicators, such as age of first use, seem unaffected by address density.
The survey data reveal distinctions between drug use prevalence in Amsterdam,
Rotterdam, The Hague, and Utrecht, although the cities occupy the same
level of address density. The core question addressed here is how can
the discrepancies in prevalence rates be explained?
Introduction
In many countries, drug use statistics are utilized as
key elements in the formulation and adjustment of national drug policies
(see e.g. Tweede Kamer, 1997). They are also of considerable interest
to the general public. One way of measuring the extent of national drug
use is through surveys of the general population. This paper is largely
based on the results of such a survey, titled Licit and illicit drug
use in the Netherlands, 1997 (Abraham et al. 1999). This survey
provides prevalence estimates of both licit and illicit drug use, and
is based on a nationally representative sample of the registered population
aged 12 and over. The registered population is nearly the entire Dutch
population, and even includes most homeless persons. A total of 21,959
respondents participated in this survey.
Earlier, between 1970-1991, six national household surveys were implemented
in the Netherlands among persons of adolescent age and older (Korf 1995).
These surveys were marked by a relatively small number of respondents,
ranging from 910-1,123 persons out of in approximately 10 million (Dutch
population of 12 years and older in 1970) to 13 million (Dutch population
of 12 years and older in 1991) (Statistics Netherlands 1997). Given
the small sample sizes involved, their results are limited for two reasons.
Firstly, matching confidence intervals are large and as a consequence
less reliable estimates can be made. Secondly, rarely used drugs (such
as heroine or inhalants) require a large sample (see e.g. Sandwijk 1995).
Although there has been a paucity of adequate national data on substance
use, more attention has been directed at those who are most likely to
be involved with drugs, in this case Dutch youth. In the period from
1970-1997, eight school surveys were undertaken among Dutch schoolchildren
(Kuipers et al. 1997; also see Kuipers in this issue). Unlike the national
efforts described above, these surveys have included a substantial number
of respondents (ranging from 6,451 to 22,971 schoolchildren).
The net effect of concentrating one's analysis solely on national figures
is likely to suggest homogeneity of drug use patterns in a country.
A closer, local, analysis demonstrates that there are significant differences
in drug use prevalence rates among urban municipalities of varying densities,
and these should not be overlooked. These comments apply not only to
the Netherlands, however, as they reveal a universal concern when attempting
to estimate drug use patterns in a national population. Given these
observations, differences in the over-all degree of address density
(as an indicator of urban residency) should be taken into account when
comparing international prevalence data. Differences of address density
can be found between countries as well as within countries. For example,
Ireland is populated by 51 persons per square kilometer (in 1996) compared
to Denmark by 122 persons (in 1996), and The Netherlands by 458 persons
per square kilometer (in 1997). If we take a closer look on the Irish
inhabitants, we see that the area around Dublin area is populated by
over 1000 persons per square kilometer wereas almost all other districts
have less than 50 inhabitants per square kilometer. (source: Grote Bosatlas
1998)
The core objectives focus of this paper are the delineation of differences
in drug use prevalence rates among municipalities with different address
densities. We explain these patterns in terms of urban residency and
lifestyle.
Method
The most recent national survey of licit and illicit
drug use in the Netherlands was based on a national sample representing
all persons 12 years of age and older who were listed in the Municipal
Population Registry as of January 1, 1997 (for Utrecht, the target date
was January 1, 1996). Because the survey is conducted among registered
persons, some marginalized drug users, homeless and illegals are not
included in the samples. However, high-school dropouts, often omitted
in many similar surveys, are included. The population from which this
sample was drawn consisted of 13,242,208 persons.
The study sample was comprised of nine sub-samples (see Table 1). Four
of these sub-samples were drawn randomly from a list of registered persons
in the large cities of: 1) Amsterdam; 2) Rotterdam; 3) The Hague; and
4) Utrecht. The remaining five sub-samples were selected on the basis
of a two-stage stratified sample of the rest of the Netherlands. The
selection process consisted of a number of related steps. First, all
other municipalities were ranked in one of five strata, representing
different levels of address density. Stratum 1 represented all municipalities
with more than 2,500 addresses on average, per square kilometer. Stratum
2 encompassed municipalities with 1,500 to 2,500 addresses per square
kilometer. The third stratum included areas with 1,000 to 1,500 addresses.
Stratum 4 had 500 to 1,000 addresses per square kilometer. And Stratum
5 had, on average, less than 500 addresses per square kilometer. Within
each stratum, a random sample of municipalities was drawn. Random samples
represented all persons 12 years of age and older who were registered
in the selected municipalities. Selective data can be provided for each
of the separate sub-samples.
Table 1. Response and population (age 12 and older) per sample,
the Netherlands, 1997
|
| sample |
stratum |
municipality |
address/km2
on average |
response
n |
sample
N |
|
| 1 |
|
Amsterdam |
|
3,710 |
622,021 |
| 2 |
|
Rotterdam |
|
2,320 |
506,153 |
| 3 |
|
The Hague |
|
2,279 |
382,945 |
| 4 |
|
Utrecht |
|
2,198 |
667,956 |
| 5 |
|
other municipalities with highest address density |
|
2,289 |
2667,956 |
| 1 to 5 |
1 |
all municipalities with highest address density |
over 2,500 |
12,796 |
2,383,902 |
| 6 |
2 |
municipalities with hight address density |
1,500-2,500 |
2,295 |
3,149,194 |
| 7 |
3 |
municipalities with moderate address density |
1,000-1,500 |
2,276 |
2,720,952 |
| 8 |
4 |
municipalities with low address density |
500-1,000 |
2,288 |
2,797,974 |
| 9 |
5 |
municipalities with lowest address density |
less than 500 |
2,304 |
2,190,186 |
|
|
21,959 unweighted cases
|
Later, in the analysis, we will classify the samples in 5 discrete
categories. These strata are made up of persons living in: 1) municipalities
with the highest address density (including the samples of the four
big cities); 2) municipalities with high address density; 3) municipalities
with moderate address density; 4) municipalities with low address density;
and 5) municipalities with the lowest address density.
In order to provide figures for the entire Dutch population, the response
data were weighted to produce a representative sample. Table 2 summarizes
the weighted and unweighted background characteristics of respondents,
including age, gender and social activity levels (the amount of time
spent going out to bars, clubs and the like).
Table 2. Main characteristics, the Netherlands, 1997 (weighted
and unweighted)
|
| age |
weighted n |
unweighted n |
|
| 12-15 |
1,196 |
2,312 |
| 16-19 |
1,229 |
2,898 |
| 20-24 |
1,703 |
1,497 |
| 25-29 |
2,138 |
2,018 |
| 30-34 |
2,189 |
1,950 |
| 35-39 |
2,057 |
1,892 |
| 40-49 |
3,864 |
3,336 |
| 50-59 |
2,947 |
2,357 |
| 60-69 |
2,210 |
1,777 |
| 70+ |
2,390 |
1,922 |
| total |
21,914 |
21,959 |
| |
| gender |
|
|
| male |
10,773 |
10,675 |
| female |
11,142 |
11,284 |
| total |
21,914 |
21,959 |
| |
| going out behaviour* |
|
|
| never |
14,239 |
12,929 |
| little |
4,740 |
5,195 |
| moderate |
2,363 |
3,013 |
| often |
536 |
774 |
| total |
21,879 |
21,911 |
|
| * freq. of visiting bars, clubs, discotheques in
the 4 weeks prior to the interview |
Altogether, a total of nearly 22,000 persons were interviewed. Respondents
were questioned in a computer-assisted personal interview (CAPI). By
this method, the interviewer questions respondents at their homes, guided
by a laptop computer. The computer minimizes routing errors and instantly
alerts for inconsistency of given answers.
The questionnaire asked about the use of various licit and illicit
drugs, as well as respondent background and lifestyle characteristics.
It began with questions about personal lifestyle issues. Examples of
these lifestyle measures included the following questions: "How
many evenings were not spent at home during the last week?"; "What
is the frequency with which you went out to a club, disco or bar during
the last four weeks?"; and "What is the frequency with which
you went out to a theatre or ballet during the last eight weeks?"
Following these introductory inquiries, the interviewer asks detailed
questions about the subject's use of particular drugs (these cover,
among others, the frequency and intensity of use and age of first use),
including tobacco, alcohol, sedatives, hypnotics, cannabis, cocaine,
ecstasy, amphetamines, hallucinogens, mushrooms, opiates, inhalants
and performance-enhancing substances. The questionnaire concluded with
a series of demographic questions to ascertain respondents' background
characteristics. These included conventional variables such as income,
education, age, gender and marital status, as well as others concerned
with socioeconomic status. Most of the interviews were completed in
1997 and 1998, although, as noted, the Utrecht fieldwork took place
in 1996. The survey was designed with the co-operation of Statistics
Netherlands (CBS), and funded by the Ministry of Health, Welfare and
Sports (VWS).
Although one of the best ways to assess the nature and extent of drug
use is by completing confidential national surveys (Harrison et al.1995:
206), this method also has its limitations. For example, the data is
self-reported. Asking people to report private or personal information,
and specifically about drug use, can lead to overestimation, underestimation
and/or selective non-responses.
National drug use prevalence figures
In the following discussion the author focuses on cannabis,
ecstasy and cocaine, as these are the three most prevalent illicit drugs
in the Netherlands. Data are also included about abstinence rates. The
following concepts are utilized to measure different aspects of drug
use:
-
Lifetime prevalence - the percentage of the population
that reported consuming a given drug at least once in their lifetime;
-
Current user - the percentage of the population that
reported consuming a given drug at least once in the month prior
to the interview;
-
Continuing user - the proportion of lifetime users
of a given drug that consumed the drug at least once in the month
prior to the interview. This measure can be biased to some degree
as it also includes those who have just started and automatically
produces a 100 percent continuation rate.
-
Experienced user - the proportion of lifetime users
that used a given drug at least 25 times. Experienced user rates
give some indication of experience level;
-
Age of first use - the age at which a given drug
is consumed for the first time. Age was selected for this measure
because it is commonly implemented in other surveys, such as the
Crime Survey (United Kingdom), and can therefore be used to make
comparisons.
When considered together, these key indicators reveal important aspects
of drug use patterns in a population. They may be considered the core
figures of drug use. For a more complete description of drug use patterns,
they would have to be supplemented by other measures such as last year
prevalence, incidence and the number of times used per month (Abraham
1998).
Dutch drug use in an national perspective
The core figures of cannabis, cocaine and ecstasy use
in Holland are shown in Table 3. Not unexpectedly, the data reveal that
cannabis is the most frequently used illicit drug in the Netherlands.
In 1997, an estimated 15.6 percent of the Dutch population 12 years
of age and older had tried cannabis at least once in their lifetimes,
and 2.5 percent had done so in the month prior to the interview. Cocaine
was used at least once in their lifetimes by 2.1 percent of the Dutch
population, and its last-month prevalence was 0.2 percent. A lifetime
prevalence of 1.9 percent was found for ecstasy (MDMA), while 0.3 percent
had used the drug in the last month. Although cocaine and ecstasy lifetime
prevalence rates are substantially lower than those for cannabis, this
does not imply that other core figures for these drugs would follow
a similar pattern. For example, cannabis and ecstasy exhibit almost
identical levels of continuing use (15.8 and 14.0 % respectively), compared
to a lower level for cocaine (10.0 %). 33.1 Percent of lifetime cannabis
users had consumed the drug more than 25 times, compared to 25.4 percent
of the ecstasy users and 22.7 percent of the cocaine users. On average
cannabis is first used at age 19, while cocaine and ecstasy are used
for the first time at age 23.
Tabel 3. Drug use in the Netherlands, population age 12 and
older, 1997
|
| |
lifetime
prevalence |
current
use |
current
continuation |
experienced
use |
mean age of
first use |
|
| Cannabis |
15.6% |
2.5% |
15.8% |
33.1% |
19.7% |
| Cocaine |
2.1% |
0.2% |
10.0% |
22.7% |
23.4% |
| Ecstasy |
1.9% |
0.3% |
14.0% |
25.4% |
23.4% |
| No drugs |
5.2% |
17.8% |
|
|
19.7% |
|
|
21,959 unweighted cases
|
As mentioned before, survey research has been widely used in the Netherlands.
Of course different general population surveys can not readily be compared
with one another because of the varying target populations involved
and methodological variations and inconsistencies. The surveys that
have been completed do indicate a slight increase in lifetime drug prevalence
in the Netherlands in the period between late 1970 and the early 1990s
(Korf 1995).
When comparing these national surveys, several methodological differences
are apparent. We list only a few of them. The first is the disparity
in the sample sizes of the different administrations. The 1997 survey
included 21,959 respondents, whereas each of the first three surveys
only included between 910-1,123 respondents. In addition, the data collection
instruments used differed in the surveys; the 1997 study featured face-to-face
interviews, while the earlier ones had been either written or face-to-face
administrations. The actual questions asked in these different applications
also varied considerably. Finally, the target populations were non-uniform;
the 1997 survey included all registered persons aged 12 and over, while
the previous surveys included persons aged 15 and over, 16 and over
and 18 and over.
Dutch drug use in an international perspective
In order to place these Dutch figures in an international
context, they will be compared with those found in some other European
countries and in the United States. Table 4 presents the lifetime prevalence
of drug use (cannabis, cocaine and ecstasy) reported in recent national
general population surveys completed in the Netherlands, Denmark, the
former West Germany, Spain, Sweden, the United Kingdom and the United
States (European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction 1998).
The international drug use prevalence data indicate that the lifetime
cannabis use rate in the Netherlands is lower than that found in Denmark,
the U.K. and the U.S., but higher than is found in Sweden. Table 4 reveals
that these rates vary considerably from a low of 9 percent in Sweden,
to highs of 31 percent in Denmark and 33 percent in the U.S. Unfortunately
these figures are not directly comparable because the Danish survey
is limited to those 18-69 years of age, while the U.S. and Dutch figures
include everyone 12 years of age and older. This means that the Danish
figures are not really as close to those for the U.S. as they seem.
The 12-17 year old group is included in the U.S. figures but not in
those for Denmark. Ultimately, this has the net effect of inflating
the Danish figures, because the 12-17 year olds are not likely to be
experimenting with marijuana.
As noted in the Maris article in this issue, the U.S. drug czar was
recently critical of Dutch drug policy in comments made before his visit
there in 1998. General McCaffrey claimed that the Dutch drug use rates
were higher than, or at least comparable to, those found in the U.S.
(The figures presented above call into question this assertion). For
example, the Dutch lifetime cannabis prevalence rate was less than one-half
that found in the U. S., despite Holland's liberal policies.
Table 4. Lifetime prevalence of drug use in recent nationwide
surveys among the general population in some EU countries and in the
United States
|
| |
the Netherlands
1997 |
Denmark
1994 |
(West)Germany
1995 |
Spain
1997 |
Sweden
1996 |
United Kingdom
1996 |
United States
1997 |
|
| Cannabis |
15.6% |
31.3% |
13.9% |
21.7% |
9.0% |
22.0% |
32.9% |
| Cocaine |
2.1% |
2.0% |
2.2% |
3.2% |
1.0% |
3.0% |
10.5% |
| Ecstasy |
1.9% |
- |
1.6% |
2.5% |
0.0% |
3.0% |
- |
| |
| sample |
21,959 |
1,541 |
1,541 |
12,445 |
12,445 |
10,940 |
24,505 |
| mode |
interview |
mail |
mail |
interview |
interview |
interview |
interview |
| age range |
12 and over |
18-69 |
18-59 |
15-65 |
15-69 |
16-59 |
12 and over |
|
|
- data not provided
Source: European Minitoring Centre for Drug Addiction 1998 &
Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration 1997
|
Now it is not easy to compare between countries. We see for example
that there are many distinctions between the various surveys implemented
throughout Europe. One must be cautious when comparing statistics between
countries that utilize different sampling methods (such as populations
with non-comparable age compositions) and sample size. One must be aware
of mode effects because different instruments are used to collect data
(such as face-to-face interviews or written questionnaires). One must
also ask whether the drug use questions are imbedded in a larger survey,
such as in Great Britain's Crime Survey and Greece's Mental Health Survey,
or are they the central concern being addressed, as with the Dutch sample.
All of these factors serve to constrain cross-country comparisons.
This having been said, however, there are major differences observable
in the collected data. Given these methodological and sample constraints,
a tentative conclusion may be that the experimentation with cannabis,
cocaine and ecstasy in the Netherlands does not occur more often than
it does in other Western-European countries. A helpful overview of the
problems associated with general population surveys of drug use in Europe
may be found in Bless et al. (1997).
Prevalence and address density
Dutch drug use in national perspective
The next question we address asks how the Dutch drug
use figures are related to address density. Reason for doing so is that
for at least several European countries, urban illicit drug use prevalence
rates are substantially higher than are their national figures (Hartnoll
1995). Also, in the U.S. a positive correlation has been found between
the degree of urban residency and rates of illicit drug use (Substance
Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration 1997).
We give the data for all five density categories, but mainly focus
on the two density extremes: the highest density stratum (n = 12,796)
and the lowest density stratum (n = 2,304). Table 5 displays drug use
rates for cannabis, cocaine and ecstasy, as well as rates of abstinence.
These figures compare the rates for those living in the density strata
with each other, and finally, for the nation as a whole. Differences
between the strata are tested by means of a Chi-square test (p<0.05).
Table 5. Drug use in the Netherlands, 12 and older, 1997 (weighted
percentages) for all five address density strata, and nation-wide
|
| drug |
highest
density |
high
density |
moderate
density |
low
density |
lowest
density |
national |
|
| lifetime prevalence |
| Cannabis |
25.5% |
17.2% |
12.6% |
12.3% |
10.5% |
15.6% |
| Cocaine |
4.9% |
1.8% |
1.5% |
1.4% |
1.0% |
2.1% |
| Ecstasy |
3.6% |
1.5% |
1.7% |
1.3% |
1.2% |
1.9% |
| |
| last month prevalence |
| Cannabis |
4.9% |
2.4% |
1.8% |
1.8% |
1.5% |
2.5% |
| Cocaine |
0.5% |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.2% |
| Ecstasy |
0.6% |
0.1% |
0.4% |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.3% |
| |
| last month continuation (last month use per reported
lifetime use) |
| Cannabis |
19.4% |
13.9% |
14.3% |
14.6% |
14.6% |
15.8% |
| Cocaine |
10.7% |
3.1% |
15.4% |
11.6% |
10.3% |
10.0% |
| Ecstasy |
15.4% |
4.8% |
22.0% |
13.9% |
11.5% |
14.0% |
| |
| experienced use (more than 25 times per reported lifetime
use |
| Cannabis |
39.8% |
33.1% |
28.4% |
27.4% |
31.5% |
33.1% |
| Cocaine |
25.1% |
19.3% |
23.2% |
19.1% |
23.9% |
22.7% |
| Ecstasy |
22.0% |
12.7% |
36.1% |
41.5% |
17.0% |
25.4% |
| |
| mean age of first use |
| Cannabis |
20.5 |
19.4 |
18.9 |
20.0 |
19.5 |
19.7 |
| Cocaine |
24.5 |
22.7 |
20.6 |
22.8 |
25.7 |
23.4 |
| Ecstasy |
24.8 |
24.4 |
21.5 |
21.2 |
23.4 |
23.4 |
| |
| Total sample |
12,796 |
2,295 |
2,276 |
2,288 |
2,304 |
21,959 |
|
Cannabis
Cannabis is the most widely used illicit drug in the
Netherlands. In 1997, an estimated 15.6 percent of the Dutch population
12 years of age and older had tried cannabis at least once in their
lifetime; this represents just over 2,000,000 persons. A distinct relationship
was established between cannabis use and address density. When comparing
drug use rates among the different strata, both lifetime and last-month
prevalence rates are significantly highest in the highest density municipalities,
and finally, by the lowest density municipalities. Current use varies
from 4.9 in the highest address density municipalities to 1.5 in the
lowest. This suggests that the lower the address density, the lower
the current cannabis use prevalence. The distinctions between the density
divisions are also found among continuing use and experienced use rates,
although these are less profound. Among the highest density lifetime
users, 19.4 percent consumed cannabis at least once during the last
month, whereas in the least populous stratum 14.6. The mean age of first
use, however, is nearly the same throughout the country (19 years).
Cocaine
Cocaine is the second most prevalent illicit drug, being
used at least once in a lifetime by 2.1 percent of the Dutch population.
As with cannabis, cocaine use is strongly related to address density.
The distinction between the strata representing different levels of
urban residency also holds for lifetime cocaine use prevalence, and
experienced use rates, although not for continuation of cocaine use
and the mean age of first cocaine use. Here, the lifetime prevalence
rate is highest in urbanized municipalities (4.9 %) and lowest in the
rural municipalities (1.0 %). Thus, in regards to cocaine, the higher
the address density, the higher the percentage of lifetime and current
use. The current continuation of cocaine is 10 percent nationwide, a
rate that is consistent for all population strata. Consequently, there
appears to be no specific relationship between cocaine use continuation
and the degree of urban residency. Finally, the experienced use rates
are not significantly (p<0.05) related to the degree of urban residency.
In the highest density municipality 25.1 percent of the lifetime users
had used cocaine more than 25 times, while in the lowest density municipality
this percentage was 24 percent. The age of cocaine use onset is around
23 nation-wide, with only modest differences between varying density
populations.
Ecstasy
In 1997 ecstasy had been used at least once by 2 percent
of the national population, and was used in the month prior to the interview
by 0.3 percent. Ecstasy is now the third most prevalent illicit drug
in the Netherlands. Prevalence rates vary widely in the different address
densities, however. For example, the lifetime prevalence rate for the
high address density municipality was 3.6 percent, while it was 1.2
percent for the lowest address density municipalities. Current continuation
rates vary for each stratum, but are not necessarily higher in the highest
address density municipalities. The same holds true for experienced
use rates in the most urban municipalities, where 22 percent of the
lifetime users took ecstasy 25 times or more. The comparable figures
vary between 12 percent in high density to 41 percent in the low-density
municipalities. The age of first ecstasy use also appears somewhat lower
outside urban areas.
In summarizing this data, two conclusions may be derived. First, there
is a consistent positive relationship between the reported prevalence
of drug use and address density; the higher the density, the greater
the use. National survey results suggest that this generalization is
applicable to the use of all illicit drugs. Secondly, not all drug use
indicators reflect this pattern. Think, for example, of variations observed
with regard to "mean age of first use" and "continued
use". Similarly, the prevalence rates for licit drugs such as alcohol,
tobacco, hypnotics and sedatives, as well as those for drug abstinence,
do not reflect this urban residency /high use pattern (Abraham 1999).
Clearly, we can express national figures without knowing the actual
distribution of drug use in the Netherlands. Rather, these figures tend
to mask important differences between municipalities with varying address
densities. Given the significance of this phenomenon, any cross-national
comparisons seem improbable, other than as very broad indicators of
approximate levels of use.
Drug use, address density and lifestyle
Explanatory drug use prevalence variables
The previous section provided data establishing that
there is a distinct relationship between drug use (cannabis, cocaine
and ecstasy) and distinct address density levels. Now we address the
interesting question of how these differences can best be explained.
As mentioned before, we first examine the explicatory variables for
cannabis, cocaine and ecstasy use, and then determine whether or not
they are the same for each of the three population density divisions.
Our aim is to determine which explanatory factors relate to the use
of each of the named drugs, and to express that relation as a measure.
This can be achieved by means of a logit analysis, an approach
that can be used for explanatory models of categorical phenomena. This
is the natural complement of the regression model in case the regressand
is not a continuous variable (for more information about logit, see
e.g. Maddala 1983). We used a multinomial logit model to analyze categorical
variables. The logit analysis applies a probability (t-test) to all
explanatory variables in the model, which tells if the variable is significant,
and if so, by how much. In order to compare the relations occurring
among the strata, this analysis is performed separately for each stratum.
Three ranked categorical dependent variables reflecting a level of drug
use were constructed. These variables indicate the level of use of each
of the three substances, cannabis, cocaine and ecstasy. The substance
variables are ranked as follows: 0 = no substance use; 1 = lifetime
substance use, no last year/month; 2 = last year substance use, no last
month; and 3 = last month substance use. Then, nine categorical independent
variables were selected: gender; age; marital status; income; education;
composition of household; number of evenings spent at home during the
last week; frequency of going out to a bar, club or disco in the last
four weeks; and number of visits to the theatre, ballet, a restaurant,
bar, club or disco (last four weeks).
Results of the logit analysis are summarized in Table 6 for the highest
and lowest address density strata, and also national. Explanatory variables
are only provided if they were significant when using a t-test p<0.001.
The analysis suggests that there are three major explanatory factors,
which are of significance for all of the examined drugs, including
age, gender and the frequency of going out to bars, clubs or discos.
Outcomes show, for example, that age is negatively related to both cannabis
and ecstasy use. That is, the use of these drugs is more likely among
young people than it is among older people. Gender is negatively related
to all forms of drug use prevalence, meaning that men are more likely
to use drugs than women. The frequency of going out to bars, clubs or
discos is positively related with cannabis, cocaine and ecstasy use
prevalence. One must exercise caution in the interpretation of the meaning
of the conclusions, however, for there is no evidence that a causal
relationship exists between these explanatory variables and drug use
prevalence.
One of the limitations of the logit analysis is that we can not readily
contrast the relationship strength between strata. This non-comparability
is a byproduct of the variable prevalence rates that characterize different
address densities. Consequently, we should be cautious when we argue,
for example, that age is more robustly related to drug use prevalence
in the high address density areas than it is in low-density locales.
A high prevalence rate provides more observations and therefore enhances
the probability that a significant relationship will be found, explaining
the relatively high values found in the national model when compared
to the lower values exhibited when the strata are handled independently.
Table 6. Explanatory variables for drug use in the Netherlands,
1997 results of logit analysis: values of significance (t-test p<0.001),
for the highest and lowest address density strata and nation-wide
|
| explanatory variable |
highest
density |
lowest
density |
nation-
wide |
|
| cannabis use |
| Age |
-15.1 |
-6.0 |
-19.7 |
| Gender |
-11.6 |
- |
-15.5 |
| Frequency of visiting bar, club, disco |
15.4 |
- |
13.7 |
| Frequency out of house |
- |
- |
5.4 |
| Out of house orientation |
- |
3.6 |
10.6 |
| |
| Cocaine use |
| Age |
- |
- |
- |
| Gender |
-5.8 |
- |
-5.8 |
| Frequency of visiting bar, club, disco |
8.9 |
- |
6.8 |
| Frequency out of house |
- |
- |
- |
| Out of house orientation |
3.5 |
- |
4.5 |
| |
| Ecstasy use |
| Age |
-9.6 |
- |
-9.1 |
| Gender |
-4.6 |
- |
-5.9 |
| Frequency of visiting bar, club, disco |
7.4 |
- |
7.8 |
| Frequency out of house |
- |
- |
- |
| Out of house orientation |
3.7 |
- |
3.9 |
|
|
Other explanatory variables play no significant
role in the model
|
Age and gender
Age serves as a first explanatory variable for cannabis
and ecstasy use, but is not one for cocaine use. These findings partially
support previous research among the AMSTERDAM population, where we learned
that drug use prevalence is correlated with age. As expected, few elderly
people report having used either cannabis, cocaine or ecstasy (Sandwijk
et al. 1995), a result that has been consistently found in non-Dutch
populations as well (Korf 1995 and Substance Abuse and Mental Health
Services Administration 1997). A possible explanation then for differences
in prevalence rates may be the younger average age of the highest address
density stratum. Many young people move to the cities to study at high
schools or universities. In 1997, the group of 18-34 year olds in the
highest density municipalities comprised 35.3 percent of the cities'
population, while in the lowest density municipalities, their percentage
was 23.2 (source: Statistics Netherlands 1997). Thus, we know that the
higher the address density of the municipality, the more young inhabitants
there will be, and the higher the prevalence rates for substance use.
However, this hypothesis may only be used to explain differences in
cannabis and ecstasy rates, but not for cocaine, as there is no significant
relationship between cocaine use and age. The hypothesis is easy to
verify by looking at the distribution within the age cohort of young
adults (for example the group of 18-34 year olds) and testing whether
the distinction between strata still exists. In this way, percentages
within this cohort neglect the relative numbers of the group 18-34 in
each stratum in order to control for age. We consider the age cohort
as a constant factor. Looking at Table 7, within given age groups, the
relationship between the address density of the municipalities and prevalence
rates holds for all drugs. Therefore, we have to reject the assumption
that the presence of greater or lesser proportions of younger persons
in a given strata explain distinct drug use prevalence differences observed
between strata.
Table 7. Drug use in the Netherlands, population age 18-34,
1997 (weighted percentages) for the highest and lowest address density
strata, and nation-wide
|
| drug |
highest
density |
lowest
density |
nation-
wide |
|
| lifetime prevalence |
| Cannabis |
40.4% |
18.3% |
28.0% |
| Cocaine |
7.6% |
1.9% |
4.0% |
| Ecstasy |
8.0% |
3.5% |
4.7% |
| No drugs |
9.8% |
8.2% |
8.8% |
| |
| last month prevalence |
| Cannabis |
11.5% |
3.1% |
3.2% |
| Cocaine |
1.5% |
0.3% |
0.5% |
| Ecstasy |
1.3% |
0.5% |
0.7% |
| No drugs |
15.0% |
15.4% |
16.4% |
|
|
6,839 unweighted cases
|
The evidence collected here indicates that the use of illegal drugs
is closely related to gender, a finding that corroborates the conclusions
of previous research (Sandwijk et al. 1995). Within the five strata,
sex is equally distributed. In 1997, 48.4 percent of the highest density
stratum was male and 51.6 percent female; in the lowest density municipality
these percentages were only slightly different: 50.4 and 49.6 percent
(source: Statistics Netherlands). The drug use distribution, controlled
for gender, shows distinct rates per stratum (see Table 5). Consequently,
the variable gender is not to explain the differences in prevalence
rates.
Lifestyle
A possible explanation for the variations may be found
in the very abstract and complex concept of lifestyle. One key
variable to test and verify that drug use can be partially explained
by lifestyle is the frequency with which respondents visit clubs, discotheques
or bars. This concern has already been addressed in previous research
among the Amsterdam population and revealed that drug use may be largely
determined by lifestyle (Sandwijk et al. 1988). Considering that this
behavior correlates to address density and to drug use prevalence, lifestyle
might help to explain the discrepancies in drug use prevalence between
different address density locales).
Among current cannabis users, 44.8 percent frequently go out to bars,
clubs or discos; the comparable figure is 12.5 percent for those who
are no last month cannabis users. Similar distributions are found when
comparing the activities of cocaine users (45.7 percent of current users
go out often, versus 13.8 percent of current non users), as well as
ecstasy users (51.9 percent of current users go out often to bars, clubs
or discos versus 13.2 percent of the current non users. The logit analysis
allows us to more closely examine this relationship. We found that,
for all examined drugs, the frequency of visiting bars, clubs or discos
is an important explanatory variable. Specifically lifestyle is the
best explanatory variable, as opposed to the number of evenings spent
out of the house, or an orientation toward "partying" behavior
(e.g. going to movies, theatres, restaurants, and also bars, clubs or
discos). An exception may be noted regarding cannabis use in the rural
municipalities, where age is the most important explanatory variable,
followed by an orientation toward an active nightlife. No significant
relationship was found between lifestyle differences in low-density
municipalities and cocaine or ecstasy use prevalence.
It is safe to say that the urban stratum has a relatively youthful
population, and that a large proportion of these young people have active
nightlives. Of course it is not unusual to see people in their 30s and
40s in clubs everywhere. For the highest density stratum generally 17.9
percent of the population report going out often; in the most rural
municipalities it is only 12.4. A possible explanation for the discrepancies
between drug use prevalence rates among various strata could be sought
in the answers to the survey question regarding "the frequency
of going out to bars, clubs or discos", since this is positively
related to the prevalence of drug use. To find out if this is true,
we focused on the group of frequent nightclubbers, defined here as persons
who went out to clubs, cafes and discos more than 4 times in the month
prior to the interview. Even among this active nightlife group there
still exists a distinct relation between municipality and drug use prevalence
rates. (Table 8) For example, the probability that such a person in
a highest density stratum ever used ecstasy (10.4 %) is very different
from the probability that a similar person in a rural municipality used
it (5.6 %).
In summary, two factors may help to explain the observed relationship
between drug use prevalence rates and address density. The first is
that a much larger percentage of high-density urban dwellers have active
nightlifes than is found among residents of less populous areas. The
second is that these high-density urban also have relatively high drug
use prevalence rates. These factors show the (expected) correlation
between nightlife and high address density. It should be noted, however,
that the answer is by no means confirmed yet.
Table 8. Drug use in the Netherlands, population age 12 and
older, high nightlife freqyency, 1997 (weighted percentages) for the
highest and lowest address density strata, and nation-wide
|
| drug |
highest
density |
lowest
density |
nation-
wide |
|
| lifetime prevalence |
| Cannabis |
53.6% |
23.8% |
37.5% |
| Cocaine |
12.3% |
2.3% |
6.2% |
| Ecstasy |
10.4% |
5.6% |
7.1% |
| No drugs |
1.8% |
0.7% |
2.2% |
| |
| last month prevalence |
| Cannabis |
13.9% |
5.0% |
8.3% |
| Cocaine |
1.5% |
0.3% |
0.7% |
| Ecstasy |
2.0% |
0.7% |
1.0% |
| No drugs |
4.5% |
5.0% |
5.1% |
|
| 3,787 unweighted cases |
Non-significant variables
A relatively large share of the background and socio-economic
variables do not exhibit a significant relationship to drug use within
the logit model. The variables of marital status, income, education
and household composition do not help in explaining drug use prevalence.
For that reason, they also do not help to explain the distinct relationship
that often exists between drug use prevalence and address density.
Based on this review, we may conclude that there is no clear-cut answer
to the question raised earlier regarding the significance of different
drug use explanatory variables. Consequently, we have to continue to
search for new factors that relate to drug use prevalence and address
density.
Variation within address density strata
Drug use in the highest address density stratum
We have noted that drug use prevalence rates are not
uniform throughout the Netherlands. This raises the related question
of whether these rates are similar within a single address density stratum?
We now take a closer look at the highest address density stratum that
is made up of Amsterdam (n = 3,710), Rotterdam (n = 2,320), The Hague
(n = 2,279), Utrecht (n = 2,198) and other high-density municipalities
(n = 2,289) (see also Table 1). It should be noted that the city of
Amsterdam has the highest average level of address density within this
group (Statistics Netherlands (date).
Dutch drug use prevalence and other drug use statistics
The core figures for cannabis, cocaine and ecstasy use
in the big cities are presented below in Table 9. The data provides
the evidenced that prevalence rates are not equally distributed within
a stratum. The following discussion is directed to interpreting and
explaining these figures.
Table 9. Drug use in the Netherlands, 12 and older, 1997 (weighted
percentages) for Amsterdam, Rotterdam, The Hague, Utrecht and other
highest address density municipalities
|
| drug |
Amsterdam |
Rotterdam |
The Hague |
Utrecht |
other highest
density
municipalities |
|
| lifetime prevalence |
| Cannabis |
36.7% |
18.5% |
20.1% |
27.3% |
23.3% |
| Cocaine |
9.4% |
3.4% |
3.4% |
3.6% |
3.2% |
| Ecstasy |
7.0% |
2.2% |
2.6% |
3.2% |
2.4% |
| |
| last month prevalence |
| Cannabis |
8.1% |
3.3% |
4.2% |
4.2% |
4.0% |
| Cocaine |
1.0% |
0.4% |
0.6% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
| Ecstasy |
1.1% |
0.1% |
0.2% |
0.7% |
0.6% |
| |
| last month continuation (last month use per reported
lifetime use) |
| Cannabis |
22.1% |
17.7% |
20.9% |
15.4% |
17.0% |
| Cocaine |
10.1% |
10.4% |
16.5% |
12.5% |
8.4% |
| Ecstasy |
15.8% |
2.7% |
7.0% |
22.7% |
25.5% |
| |
| experienced use (more than 25 times per reported lifetime
use |
| Cannabis |
43.6% |
40.8% |
40.5% |
33.1% |
35.6% |
| Cocaine |
27.2% |
24.2% |
26.9% |
17.8% |
21.2% |
| Ecstasy |
17.7% |
28.2% |
23.5% |
19.6% |
29.3% |
| |
| mean age of first use |
| Cannabis |
20.3 |
20.1 |
20.7 |
20.2 |
20.8 |
| Cocaine |
24.6 |
20.1 |
20.7 |
20.2 |
20.8 |
| Ecstasy |
26.4 |
23.1 |
22.6 |
24.0 |
23.3 |
| |
| Total sample |
3,710 |
2,320 |
2,279 |
2,198 |
2,289 |
|
Cannabis, cocaine and ecstasy
The Amsterdam figures confirm that that city is indeed
a special case and as such is not at all representative of the Netherlands
as a whole. Notably, cannabis use is very prevalent in Amsterdam, with
36 percent of the population aged 12 and older reporting lifetime use.
There are clear distinctions (significant Chi-square p<0.05) identifiable
between the cities in terms of prevalence rates (lifetime as well as
current), continuation rates and experienced use rates. These differences
are not found for "mean age of first cannabis use", however,
as this indicator seems to be equal in all of the Dutch samples.
Similarly, with regard to cocaine, the highest prevalence rates are
found in Amsterdam. Cocaine prevalence rates (lifetime as well as current)
are comparable for Rotterdam, The Hague and Utrecht, although there
are significant distinctions between these rates and those found in
Amsterdam. Cocaine continuation rates and experienced use rates are
notably different in each city. The mean age of first cocaine use is
about the same for all four cities.
When we turn our attention to ecstasy use, its prevalence is highest
among the Amsterdam population, buoying the observation that that city's
use patterns are clearly different from those in Rotterdam, The Hague
and Utrecht. There are clear distinctions between the cities in terms
of prevalence rates (lifetime as well as current), continuation rates
and experienced use rates. In Amsterdam, users were introduced to this
drug later in life than those in the other three cities.
When reviewing these drug use figures, we have observed both similarities
and differences between the four large cities. Prevalence rates and
use practices there follow distinct patterns, depending on the particular
drugs used and the city in question. It is difficult to order the cities
in such a way that drug use prevalence rates increase when the classification
increases, as they did with address density. Thus, within a given density
stratum, it is not simply the higher the address density, the higher
the prevalence rates. Although Amsterdam (marked with the highest address
density of all) always tops the list. The latter fact reinforces the
notion that that city is indeed a special case. In terms of prevalence
rates, the cities of Rotterdam, The Hague and Utrecht could be considered
as one homogeneous group, and quite distinct from Amsterdam. These comparisons
suggest that generalizing whole-population drug use figures distorts
and covers over myriad variations that exist between different population
elements.
Explanatory variables
In all four cities the population has a roughly equal
composition, with regard to age and gender. The established relationships
between age, gender and drug use prevalence are also equivalent in all
four cities. For that reason, age and gender may not be seen as explanatory
factors. Although the frequency of nightclubbing measure is positively
related to drug use prevalence in all of the cities. The proportion
of people in Amsterdam who go out often (24.7 %) is higher than in Rotterdam
(14.5 %), The Hague (11.4 %) and Utrecht (23.5 %). Not surprisingly,
Amsterdam also exhibits the highest drug use prevalence rates. Based
on the frequency of nightclubbing behavior, however, Utrecht should
show drug use prevalence rates at the same level as those of Amsterdam,
but this is not the case. This indicates that the prevalence of nightclubbing
is a necessary but not sufficient explanation of the different prevalence
rates found among the different cities. Clearly, other variables must
be sought that can better explain the clear distinction in prevalence
rates that exists between Amsterdam and these other cities.
The samples here all represent big cities and, of course, each city
has its own unique characteristics. Amsterdam, Rotterdam and Utrecht
are all typically seen as student cities. Given this perception, we
might expect them to have younger populations than are found in The
Hague, which is the government center. Despite that expectation, the
population composition for both age and gender is roughly equal in all
four cities. This is not true for the lifestyles of these populations,
however. The proportion of people who go out often is significantly
higher in Amsterdam (24.7 %) and Utrecht (23.5 %) than it is in Rotterdam
(14.5 %) and The Hague (11.4 %). We expect that these persons contribute
significantly to the reported higher drug use prevalence that exists
in Amsterdam and Utrecht.
All in all, it is not easy to explain the different city-related drug
use prevalence rates. This should make us sensitive to the "location-specificity"
of drug use figures, even within a single level of address density.
One should be aware of this specificity (and therefore possibly "non-representativity"),
especially when comparing the development in drug use patterns between
countries or cities. Idealiter, one should control the surveys for address
density and age.
Discussion
One possible answer as to why drug use prevalence rates
differ among various population concentrations may be sought in the
phenomenon of "experimental behavior". There is a "gap"
between the range of density strata's drug use prevalence rates and
their more narrow dispersion among continuation rates in different strata.
These variations suggest that experimental drug using behavior is not
the same in every municipality. This observation is confirmed when we
look more closely at the experienced use rates in Table 5 and Table
9. The figures indicate that the inhabitants of urban municipalities,
and especially in Amsterdam, engage in much more experimental drug use
than do those residing in the less populated areas. The percentages
of lifetime users who consumed a given drug 25 times or more, are higher
among Amsterdam residents than they are in the generic highest density
stratum, and these are in turn different from these in the lowest density
stratum. In looking at the total picture, however, the experienced use
rates reveal a less pronounced relationship than was observed among
prevalence rates.
National drug policy can not be seen as an explanatory factor regarding
the spread and intensity of drug use in the Netherlands, because it
officially applies to all address density municipalities and in each
city. While the formal (de jure) policy theoretically applies to all
areas, in its implementation (de facto) it can differ significantly.
We can easily observe that local policies are often very different from
one another. For example, Amsterdam has by far the largest number of
coffee shops (297 in 1999, source: Bieleman 1999), whereas there are
few or none in quite a number of villages and small towns.
It is also true that persons going out to clubs often do not limit
these sojourns to their own home location. It is certainly conceivable
that many persons living in the areas adjacent to large cities travel
to the urban core for their entertainment and relaxation opportunities.
Conclusion
The paper has first addressed the national and international
position of Dutch drug use prevalence rates. Secondly, it focussed on
address density as a measure of urban residency. In accomplishing this,
we have focused on drug use statistics gathered in several large Dutch
cities, as well as those in areas of lower population density. Distinct
differences and patterns were found. For example, cannabis use rates
are closely tied to population density; the lowest rates were found
in low-density communities, and the highest at the other end of the
continuum. Despite such general findings, however, we still noted distinctions
within specific population strata. Amsterdam's cannabis prevalence rate
was 36.7 percent, for example, while that for the other high-density
cities was 25.5 percent, and for the low-density municipalities it was
10.5 percent. The author concluded that other critical figures, such
as those for continued use, experienced use and mean age of first use,
are invariant for the level of address density, and, as a consequence,
not necessarily related to prevalence rates. We discovered that there
were significant differences between cities sharing a single address
density category, however, and therefore this feature can only partially
explain prevalence of drug use by address density. A further exploration
leads to the third question addressed to in this paper: the impact of
lifestyle on drug use. The data provides evidence that lifestyle is
related to drug use prevalence rates. We still did not find a sufficient
explanation for drug use prevalence. In order to be able to determine
why there is a discrepancy between prevalence rates within various
address density strata, we have to put more effort into explaining drug
use in general.
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|